One Week To Go
Seven days.
Hopefully sites like 538.com and Electoral-Vote.com are correct and this is a blowout for Democrats across the board. Lord knows I'd love to see it. But honestly, if Obama can win this by a single electoral vote I'll be delighted. After the soul-crushing loss to George W. four years ago, I'll take any win -- ANY win.
As a young Democrat who has seen my party lose so many national elections since 1994, I'm wired to be pessimistic. I have a hard time believing, polls be damned, that Obama will win Ohio, North Carolina, Florida, Indiana, or Missouri. Maybe I just don't want to jinx us after being so confident four years ago, but that's where I stand. I think this comes down to Virginia, Pennsylvania and Colorado.
Anything past that is just gravy. But those are three states we have to win.
Because let's be honest, do you really want to see this image on election night?
I don't think so. John McCain has been running one of the worst campaigns in history ever since about August 29th, the day he blew it by picking Sarah Palin. That's why I haven't been blogging quite as much recently -- it's too much fun watching the slow motion train wreck on TV. Plus, it's hard for me to destroy McCain any better than he is destroying himself.
Watching McCain and Palin go after one another is a lot of fun. Grab the popcorn if Obama wins the election, because you ain't seen nothing yet. We will see top McCain aides going on Hardball or Fox News and describing, in detail, how idiotic Palin was when they sat her down for her first debate prep sessions in September. It's gonna be fun.
But right now is not the time to celebrate or gloat over the carcass of the GOP. They aren't dead yet. I expect OBL to release a video, doing his best to keep these neocons in power, and a whole lot of voters might recoil at the last minute because change is such a big step, and in their minds they'll think that Obama is just too good to be true.
After the election, if Obama wins, probably 60% of the country will claim they voted for Barack, even if they didn't. It's after the election, when all the ads are off TV and the spin doctors go home and the bright light of reality steps in, that most people will be glad Obama won. McCain is the new Dole, Palin is the new Quayle, and Obama is the new JFK. Four years from now, if Obama wins this election and governs well, his approval ratings will be in the 70s. And just about 75% of the people alive today will tell their grandkids they voted for the first black president, even if they didn't.
But this --right now-- this is where we step on the gas and keep going. Donate until Friday, then GOTV in whichever way you can. We could still lose this race. Nobody has voted in Pennsylvania yet. NOBODY. So take some time this week to do your part for change.
And that's all the lecturing you'll get from me this week.
Hopefully sites like 538.com and Electoral-Vote.com are correct and this is a blowout for Democrats across the board. Lord knows I'd love to see it. But honestly, if Obama can win this by a single electoral vote I'll be delighted. After the soul-crushing loss to George W. four years ago, I'll take any win -- ANY win.
As a young Democrat who has seen my party lose so many national elections since 1994, I'm wired to be pessimistic. I have a hard time believing, polls be damned, that Obama will win Ohio, North Carolina, Florida, Indiana, or Missouri. Maybe I just don't want to jinx us after being so confident four years ago, but that's where I stand. I think this comes down to Virginia, Pennsylvania and Colorado.
Anything past that is just gravy. But those are three states we have to win.
Because let's be honest, do you really want to see this image on election night?
I don't think so. John McCain has been running one of the worst campaigns in history ever since about August 29th, the day he blew it by picking Sarah Palin. That's why I haven't been blogging quite as much recently -- it's too much fun watching the slow motion train wreck on TV. Plus, it's hard for me to destroy McCain any better than he is destroying himself.
Watching McCain and Palin go after one another is a lot of fun. Grab the popcorn if Obama wins the election, because you ain't seen nothing yet. We will see top McCain aides going on Hardball or Fox News and describing, in detail, how idiotic Palin was when they sat her down for her first debate prep sessions in September. It's gonna be fun.
But right now is not the time to celebrate or gloat over the carcass of the GOP. They aren't dead yet. I expect OBL to release a video, doing his best to keep these neocons in power, and a whole lot of voters might recoil at the last minute because change is such a big step, and in their minds they'll think that Obama is just too good to be true.
After the election, if Obama wins, probably 60% of the country will claim they voted for Barack, even if they didn't. It's after the election, when all the ads are off TV and the spin doctors go home and the bright light of reality steps in, that most people will be glad Obama won. McCain is the new Dole, Palin is the new Quayle, and Obama is the new JFK. Four years from now, if Obama wins this election and governs well, his approval ratings will be in the 70s. And just about 75% of the people alive today will tell their grandkids they voted for the first black president, even if they didn't.
But this --right now-- this is where we step on the gas and keep going. Donate until Friday, then GOTV in whichever way you can. We could still lose this race. Nobody has voted in Pennsylvania yet. NOBODY. So take some time this week to do your part for change.
And that's all the lecturing you'll get from me this week.
posted by Existenz | 3:47 PM
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