More Polls
Today McCain has a few "good" polls to hang his hat on. Since I usually profile the polls that are good for Obama, here are two that McCain is probably crowing about today:
And yes, McCain is leading in red states like Tennessee (51-36) and Nebraska (52-36), but such leads are completely unsurprising.
And yet, there are also some very bad polls for McCain:
And check out these two dark red states:
The question remains: is this Obama's high water mark? Al Gore improved his standing from summer 2000 to Election Day, while John Kerry went in the opposite direction. Personally, while I see definite room for Obama to grow (by exposing McCain's odious positions, by delivering a knock-out speech at the DNC convention, by doing well in debates) I'm pretty sure we won't see any Obama leads larger than the 15% range we are seeing now.
But I'd love to be proven wrong. Time will tell.
Gallup:
Obama: 44%
McCain: 44%
Missouri:
McCain: 50%
Obama: 43%
And yes, McCain is leading in red states like Tennessee (51-36) and Nebraska (52-36), but such leads are completely unsurprising.
And yet, there are also some very bad polls for McCain:
Rasmussen:
Obama: 49%
McCain: 45%
Michigan:
Obama: 48%
McCain: 42%
Minnesota:
Obama: 54%
McCain: 37%
Wisconsin:
Obama: 52%
McCain: 39%
Colorado:
Obama: 49%
McCain: 44%
California:
Obama: 58%
McCain: 30%
And check out these two dark red states:
Mississippi:
McCain: 50%
Obama: 44%
Texas:
McCain: 43%
Obama: 38%
The question remains: is this Obama's high water mark? Al Gore improved his standing from summer 2000 to Election Day, while John Kerry went in the opposite direction. Personally, while I see definite room for Obama to grow (by exposing McCain's odious positions, by delivering a knock-out speech at the DNC convention, by doing well in debates) I'm pretty sure we won't see any Obama leads larger than the 15% range we are seeing now.
But I'd love to be proven wrong. Time will tell.
posted by Existenz | 4:15 PM
0 Comments:
Post a Comment
<< Home