Old Man McCain

John McCain: too old, too angry, too much like George W. Bush.

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June 9, 2008

McCain's Poll Plunge Continues

Obama continues to pick up former Hillary supporters:
Obama: 48%
McCain: 42%

Obama has consistently held a lead of five to seven percentage points each night since it was reported that Hillary Clinton intended to suspend her campaign. These represent Obama's strongest showing versus McCain to date in Gallup Poll Daily tracking of registered voters' presidential election preferences. For much of the time since Gallup began tracking general election preferences in mid-March, McCain and Obama have been in a statistical dead heat.

This is Obama's largest lead of the year in the Gallup Daily Tracking poll. In my opinion it is still too close for comfort, but is a good sign considering that Obama has already weathered some major smear campaigns (Rev. Wright, bittergate, etc.).

As we saw on last Tuesday, many pundits and commentators were shocked at how lame McCain's speech was. McCain has been out of the news for almost four months, and people have forgotten what a listless campaigner and speaker he is. Already the right wing is calling for a speaking coach to help McCain prepare for the RNC convention. Good luck with that.

Obama is firing up his general election campaign, while McCain's is still sputtering. Obama has a lot of upside in the coming months (his two-week economy tour, a major overseas visit to Iraq, campaign appearances with Clinton and Gore, his VP choice). McCain will probably get a good boost from his VP pick, depending on who it is, but otherwise has very little room to make his comeback.

Ultimately, McCain's only chance in this election is to destroy Obama by going into full-on smear mode. You can see this already starting here. Expect it to get worse.

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